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For over two years, engineers and investigators from multiple countries have searched for the remains of Malaysian Airlines Flight 370. The aeroplane's disappearance on March 8 2014 has remained a mystery — ane that authorities and the relatives of the deceased both hoped to solve by recovering the plane's wreckage. Equally the search enters its last phases, the engineering science team behind the operation has admitted it may take been looking in the wrong place all forth.

Radar data from 2014 shows that MH370 deviated from its expected flying path and turned southwest, flight over Malaysia, then northwest, before turning and flight s as shown in the image below.

SearchArea

Without direct communication from the aircraft or its flight data recorder, the search team had to make a series of assumptions about the aircraft'southward terminal hours. This information was gleaned from automatic check-ins and handshakes with satellite communication systems. The data provided an arc of potential locations for the aircraft, but couldn't nothing in on its precise location.

One of the key assumptions the search teams made was that the shipping lost power and savage out of the heaven in an uncontrolled dive. The prevailing theory since MH370 vanished has been that the passengers and coiffure were incapacitated or killed long earlier the aircraft crashed into the ocean. Co-ordinate to this theory, the airplane continued on autopilot until it ran out of fuel and lost power. This is at to the lowest degree somewhat bolstered by the communication timeline — the aircraft's satellite arrangement automatically authenticated to Inmarsat'south network at 08:10:58, but sent a log-on acknowledgement at 08:19:37. This is expected behavior if the aircraft lost main power — the auxiliary control unit (ACU) would've kicked in after the fuel tanks were exhausted and rebooted the satellite communication network.

If the aeroplane didn't fall out of the sky, it would modify the entire parameters of the search surface area. All aircraft take what's known every bit a glide ratio — the amount of distance they tin travel forwards for every corporeality of distance they fall. I haven't been able to locate the exact glide ratio for a Boeing 777, but the 747 had a glide ratio of 17:1 — meaning it could travel 17 feet forwards for every foot it lost of distance. One of the bug with MH370 is that we don't know exactly how loftier up the plane was when it fell. An aircraft with a 17:1 glide ratio that loses power at 29,000 feet tin can fly 93 miles before it hits the water. If information technology starts at 35,000 anxiety, its range is upward to 112.6 miles. Both of these figures are themselves general estimates and don't reverberate ambience weather conditions or the skill level of the pilot.

Fugro, the Dutch visitor leading the search for MH370, has previously refused to consider the glide hypothesis, merely with the search now nearing completion, it'southward increasingly likely that one of our initial assumptions about the airplane's concluding hours was incorrect. "If it's not there, it ways it'south somewhere else," Fugro project manager Paul Kennedy told Reuters with impressively impeccable logic.

We already know where some of the plane is. Multiple aircraft fragments belonging to MH370 have washed up on the shores of islands off the coast of Africa. A fragment of wing was located on La Reunion island belatedly last year, while part of a wing flap (pictured in a higher place) washed upwardly on Pemba Island and was found on June 23. That piece of wreckage has at present been transported to Australia for further examination.

Unfortunately, if the initial search area comes up empty, these fragments may be all nosotros ever observe. The body of water is enormous and it has taken two years just to map the tiny slice we've got. Various groups are expected to phone call for Furgo to release its information and analysis to the wider public, in the hopes that it could improve a new set of models for what might have happened to MH370 and where the plane concluded up. Absent pregnant sources of new funding or major evidence, however, the search is nearly finished.